O pré-candidato a prefeito de Salgado Ivan do Ônibus se revelou como o grande favorito para ser o próximo gestor salgadense. Dois fatos confirmam essa previsão: a recente pesquisa do Dataform registrada no Tribunal Superior Eleitoral sob o número SE-04830/2020 e a desistência da pré-candidatura no dia de ontem do segundo colocado, Gilvando Barbosa.
A pesquisa realizada pela equipe da Disan Empreendimentos ouviu 700 eleitores levando os formulários durante 07 dias a 37 localidades de Salgado.
INDUZIDA
Na pesquisa induzida, aquela em que o entrevistador fala os nomes dos pré-candidatos, Ivan do Ônibus (apoiado pelo atual prefeito Duílio Siqueira) aparece com uma ampla vantagem sobre o segundo colocado, o ex-prefeito Gilvando Barbosa que desistiu da disputa. O placar é de: Ivan do Ônibus com 45,69% contra 29,58% de Gilvando Barbosa, ou seja, uma diferença de 16,11% entre os pré-candidatos. Em terceiro lugar aparece Gidelson Santana com 3,47%, indicando uma polarização da disputa entre Ivan do Ônibus e Gilvando Barbosa, caso as eleições fossem na semana da pesquisa e esses fossem os candidatos. Ainda na induzida (15,97%) dos entrevistados disseram que não sabem ou não responderam e 5,28% disseram que votariam nulo ou branco.
ESPONTÂNEA
Já na pesquisa espontânea, (quando o entrevistador pergunta: Se as eleições fossem hoje, em quem você votaria para prefeito de Salgado/SE?) o resultado também favorece Ivan do Ônibus que aparece com 37,50%, seguido de Gilvando Barbosa com 22,36%, uma diferença ampla de 15,14%. Os demais pré-candidatos citados têm menos de 1% cada (Gidelson Santana 0,97% / Duílio Siqueira [citado, mas já foi reeleito] 0,42% / Juarez 0,14% / Preta 0,14% / Raimundinho 0,14% / Raimundo da Civil 0,14%) demonstrando ainda uma polarização entre Ivan do Ônibus, que dispara na frente, e o ex-prefeito Gilvando Barbosa. Isso se as eleições fossem na semana da pesquisa e se esses fossem os candidatos.
REJEIÇÃO
Os entrevistadores perguntaram também de forma induzida: (Dos nomes que eu acabei de falar em que você não votaria de jeito nenhum?). Considerando os três pré-candidatos com possibilidade, a maior rejeição foi para Gidelson Santana que aparece com 35%, seguido de Gilvando Barbosa com um índice de rejeição de 20,56% e após, aparece Ivan do Ônibus com o menor índice de rejeição de 11,81%. Não souberam ou não responderam 26,67%, nenhum (5,97%).
SURGE UM NOME NOVO
O pré-candidato a prefeito de salgado José Ivan de Santana, mais conhecido como Ivan do Ônibus, que aparece liderando as pesquisas confirmou seu nome numa transmissão ao vivo através das redes sociais no dia 1° de Setembro. O empresário vem cumprindo uma agenda intensa de visitas à população Salgadense, ouvindo de forma rigorosa os anseios para construção de um plano de governo inovador para o município. Recentemente recebeu na sua pré-campanha, o apoio do atual prefeito de Salgado, Duílio Siqueira, que possui uma alta aprovação da gestão e acredita nos projetos de Ivan para continuar o desenvolvimento do município.
Atualmente, Ivan do Ônibus é gestor de uma empresa de transportes, porém em sua apresentação destacou a sua trajetória para conseguir conquistar o seu espaço nessa área.
“Durante toda a minha vida batalhei bastante para conseguir me desenvolver, sou filho de trabalhadores rurais, já trabalhei na roça, fui ajudante de pedreiro, atuei como operário, já montei uma sorveteria, fui representante de doces, fiz serviço de transporte escolar particular e até chegar aqui como empresário, lutei muito, grande parte junto com a minha família. Então agora, aceito mais esse desafio em ser pré- candidato e lutar para que a nossa cidade não volte ao passado. Vamos caminhar rumo ao futuro”, disse Ivan do Ônibus.
PESQUISA
Universo pesquisado: município de Salgado, Estado de Sergipe.
Tamanho da amostra: 720 entrevistas.
Margem de erro: 3%
Intervalo de confiança: 90%
Trabalho de campo: 07, 08, 09, 10, 11, 12 e 13 de setembro de 2020.
Pesquisa registrada: SE-04830/2020
51 comentários em “Pesquisa em Salgado: Ivan do Ônibus dispara na liderança; Gilvando Barbosa desiste da pré-candidatura”
Não a candidato q possa em meio a tanto dinheiro sendo derramado em Salgado pelo grupo da situação infelizmente vamos continuar na merda…
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